Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 8.868487e-05 1.073531e-04 0.000127 0.000150 0.000176 0.000203 0.000234
2024-10-06 6.678797e-05 9.067303e-05 0.000118 0.000151 0.000189 0.000232 0.000283
2024-10-13 5.396959e-05 8.009770e-05 0.000111 0.000151 0.000198 0.000252 0.000317
2024-10-20 4.179108e-05 6.864800e-05 0.000103 0.000147 0.000202 0.000267 0.000346
2024-10-27 3.493950e-05 6.247661e-05 0.000099 0.000148 0.000210 0.000284 0.000377
2024-11-03 2.519633e-05 5.097645e-05 0.000087 0.000138 0.000205 0.000286 0.000389
2024-11-10 2.321118e-05 5.027366e-05 0.000090 0.000146 0.000221 0.000313 0.000431
2024-11-17 1.796457e-05 4.374406e-05 0.000083 0.000142 0.000221 0.000321 0.000451
2024-11-24 1.341777e-05 3.734117e-05 0.000076 0.000136 0.000219 0.000324 0.000463
2024-12-01 1.008045e-05 3.239275e-05 0.000071 0.000132 0.000219 0.000331 0.000480
2024-12-08 7.596994e-06 2.839624e-05 0.000066 0.000129 0.000219 0.000338 0.000497
2024-12-15 5.154501e-06 2.371170e-05 0.000060 0.000123 0.000216 0.000339 0.000507
2024-12-22 2.791083e-06 1.883352e-05 0.000055 0.000120 0.000220 0.000356 0.000544
2024-12-29 1.462148e-06 1.554111e-05 0.000051 0.000120 0.000229 0.000380 0.000591
2025-01-05 6.910227e-07 1.291695e-05 0.000049 0.000120 0.000237 0.000402 0.000635
2025-01-12 1.788701e-07 9.828201e-06 0.000044 0.000117 0.000240 0.000416 0.000669
2025-01-19 3.551102e-08 8.202938e-06 0.000042 0.000118 0.000248 0.000439 0.000714
2025-01-26 NaN 5.255028e-06 0.000035 0.000109 0.000242 0.000439 0.000729
2025-02-02 NaN 5.067119e-06 0.000037 0.000116 0.000260 0.000475 0.000793
2025-02-09 NaN 3.566938e-06 0.000033 0.000112 0.000261 0.000486 0.000823
2025-02-16 NaN 2.293549e-06 0.000029 0.000107 0.000258 0.000492 0.000846
2025-02-23 NaN 1.457198e-06 0.000026 0.000104 0.000259 0.000502 0.000874
2025-03-02 NaN 9.000152e-07 0.000023 0.000101 0.000260 0.000514 0.000903